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Guest Editorial
Needed: Clinical Research in Mood Disorders

Martin Alda, Michael Bauer

(PDF)


In Review
The Antisuicidal and Mortality-Reducing Effect of Lithium Prophylaxis: Consequences for Guidelines in Clinical Psychiatry

Bruno Müller-Oerlinghausen, Anne Berghöfer, Bernd Ahrens

(PDF)

Lithium Augmentation Therapy in Refractory Depression: Clinical Evidence and Neurobiological Mechanisms
Michael Bauer, Mazda Adli, Christopher Baethge, Anne Berghöfer, Johanna Sasse, Andreas Heinz, Tom Bschor

(PDF)

Prophylaxis Latency and Outcome in Bipolar Disorders
Christopher Baethge, Leonardo Tondo, Irene M Bratti, Tom Bschor, Michael Bauer, Adele C Viguera, Ross J Baldessarini

(PDF)


Review Paper
Clinical Features of Bipolar Disorder With and Without Comorbid Diabetes Mellitus

Martina Ruzickova, Claire Slaney, Julie Garnham, Martin Alda

(PDF)


The Cortisol Awakening Response in Bipolar Illness: A Pilot Study

Dorian Deshauer, Anne Duffy, Martin Alda, Eva Grof, Joy Albuquerque, Paul Grof

(PDF)


Implementing Quality Management in Psychiatry: From Theory to Practice—Shifting Focus From Process to Outcome

Brent M McGrath, Raymond P Tempier

(PDF)


Original Research
Mental Disorders and Reasons for Using Complementary Therapy

Badri Rickhi, Hude Quan, Sabine Moritz, Heather L Stuart, Julio Arboleda-Flórez

(PDF)

Readiness to Participate in Psychiatric Research Daniele Zullino, Philippe Conus, François Borgeat, Charles Bonsack
(PDF)

Toward Benchmarks for Tertiary Care for Adults With Severe and Persistent Mental Disorders
Alain D Lesage, Daniel Gélinas, David Robitaille, Éric Dion, Diane Frezza, Raymond Morissette

(PDF)


Brief Communication
Patient Attitudes Regarding Causes of Depression: Implications for Psychoeducation

Janaki Srinivasan, Nicole L Cohen, Sagar V Parikh

(PDF)


Book Reviews
(PDF)

Helping the Helpers Not to Harm: Iatrogenic Damage and Community Mental Health.
Reviewed by
Peter Moore, MD, FRCPC

L’Homme de Vérité.
Revue par
Maurice Dongier, MD, FRCPC


Letters to the Editor
(PDF)

Re: The Combined Use of Atypical Antipsychotics and Cognitive-Behavioural Therapy in Schizophrenia

Reply: The Combined Use of Atypical Antipsychotics and Cognitive-Behavioural Therapy in Schizophrenia

Re: Should Psychologists Be Granted Prescription Privileges? A Review of the Prescription Privilege Debate for Psychiatrists

Reply: Should Psychologists Be Granted Prescription Privileges? A Review of the Prescription Privilege Debate for Psychiatrists

Re: Should Psychologists Be Granted Prescription Privileges? A Review of the Prescription Privilege Debate for Psychiatrists

Reply: Should Psychologists Be Granted Prescription Privileges? A Review of the Prescription Privilege Debate for Psychiatrists

Breath-Holding in Anxiety Disorders

Bright Light, Serotonin Turnover, and Psychological Well-Being

In Review

The Antisuicidal and Mortality-Reducing Effect of Lithium Prophylaxis: Consequences for Guidelines in Clinical Psychiatry

Bruno Müller-Oerlinghausen, MD1, Anne Berghöfer, MD2, Bernd Ahrens, MD3

 

The suicide-related mortality among patients with affective disorders is approximately 30 times higher, and overall mortality 2 to 3 times higher, than suicide-related mortality in the general population. Lithium has demonstrated possibly specific antisuicidal effects apart from its prophylactic efficacy: it significantly reduces the high excess mortality of patients with affective disorders. To date, suicide-prevention effects have not been shown for antidepressant or anticonvulsant long-term treatment. Clozapine appears to reduce the suicide rate in schizophrenia patients. Against this background, guidelines and algorithms for selecting an appropriate prophylactic strategy for affective disorders should consider the presence of suicidality in patient history. Appropriate lithium prophylaxis prevents approximately 250 suicides yearly in Germany, although lithium salts are infrequently prescribed within the National Health Scheme (specifically, to 0.06% of the population). Rational treatment strategies most likely would demand that prescription rates be about 10 times higher.

(Can J Psychiatry 2003:48: 433–439)

Click here for author affiliations.

Highlights

  • Excess mortality is marked among individuals with affective disorders. Therefore, reduced suicide risk and mortality must be an essential endpoint in evaluating the effectiveness of long-term antidepressive or mood-stabilizing strategies.

  • Lithium salts are the only compounds for which many studies have shown such effects with sufficient evidence.


Key Words
: lithium, suicide, mortality, algorithm, affective disorders, drug utilization

Résumé : L’effet antisuicidaire et réducteur de la mortalité du traitement au lithium : conséquences pour les lignes directrices de la psychiatrie clinique

Affective disorders are characterized, first, by a high risk of recurrence and, second, by mortality rates that are 2 to 3 times higher than rates in the general population (1–4). Excess mortality among those with affective disorders is attributable primarily to suicide-induced mortality, for which rates are possibly 30 to 70 times higher (5)—and 100% higher in patients with a history of suicide attempts (6,7)—but it is also attributable to cardiovascular excess mortality. According to Goodwin and Jamison, who analyzed 21 existing studies (n = 6000 patients) to investigate the association of suicide and affective disorders, 30% of patients with affective disorders died from suicide (8). Further, a long-term study from Iceland reports that 52% of patients examined ended their lives (9). Guze and Robins’ often-quoted metaanalysis calculated a lifetime suicide risk of 15% for individuals with affective disorders (10), whereas Goodwin and Jamison reported an overall risk of 19%, based on more recent literature (11). When samples of patients with milder forms of affective disorders were analyzed—for example, those who were never hospitalized—the lifetime suicide rates appeared to be much lower (12,13).

In a detailed metaanalysis, Harris and Barraclough calculated the relative contribution of various mental illnesses to the occurrence of suicide (14). The suicide-related standardized mortality rate (SMR; 15) was 21.24 in patients with major depression, 11.73 in those with bipolar disorder (BD), and 9.84 in those with schizophrenia. Although some studies found a somewhat lower suicide rate in BD patients, compared with unipolar disorder patients (for example, 16,17), others found higher rates in BD patients (18–20).

Against this background, therefore, effective prophylaxis is of utmost importance for patients with affective disorders, and suicide prevention must be regarded as a decisive endpoint for assessing the outcome of long-term treatment of affective disorders.

As we outline below, strong evidence has accumulated during the last decade that lithium prophylaxis can prevent suicidal acts and reduce the excess mortality of patients with affective disorders. It is therefore provoking and irritating to observe that a great many—perhaps most—patients with unipolar disorder or BD are not maintained on a proper, state-of-the-art prophylactic drug regimen (21). It has been estimated that up to 50% of these patients, including those who suffer multiple relapses and may therefore bear an increased suicide risk, do not receive prophylactic treatment (22). The American Psychiatric Association guidelines for the treatment of depressive disorder do not even mention lithium as a prophylactic agent (23).

Assuming a population prevalence of 1% for BDs, at least 820 000 patients in Germany need prophylactic treatment. Lithium salts could probably be considered as first-line treatment for about one-half of them. Yet, according to a reasonable estimate for the year 2001, about 50 000 patients in Germany received lithium medication within the National Health Scheme (24). The question, then, is whether this discrepancy does not reflect some sort of malpractice.

The Effect of Long-Term Lithium Medication on Mortality and Suicide Rates of Patients With Affective Disorders

Whether uninterrupted medication with lithium salts can prevent suicide and lower mortality, thereby improving the course of manic depressive disorder, of recurrent depression, or even of schizoaffective disorders, is an intriguing question that was given little attention until the 1980s.

Barraclough was perhaps one of the first investigators to postulate an association between long-term lithium medication and suicide prevention (25). He analyzed the charts of 100 suicide victims: 64 victims had suffered a major depression. Of these, 44 had episodic depression. Barraclough concluded that about 20% of the suicides could have been prevented by adequate lithium medication. Kline reported on 3 cases in which lithium medication as crisis intervention impressively changed suicidal thoughts or suicidal behaviour (26). Müller-Oerlinghausen and others published the first systematic retrospective analysis to demonstrate a highly significant reduction in suicide attempts in a sample of high-risk patients receiving long-term lithium treatment (27). The authors emphasized that suicides and suicide attempts occurred almost exclusively in a group of 13 patients who had taken lithium irregularly or had stopped the medication.

Table 1 Selection of studies on the course of affective disorders and suicide rates in patients with long-term lithium treatment (modified according to [32])


Studies

Study length (years)


Patient years

Suicides per 1000 patient years

After discharge from hospital

    Goldacre and others (54)

No long-term medication

    Lee and Murray (55)

    Kiloh and others (56)

    Lehmann and others (57)

    Coppen and others (29)

Lithium long-term medication

    Coppen (32)

    Nilsson (36)

    Müller-Oerlinghausen and others (30)



1


16

15

11

16

 

16

20

7



6050


1296a

1785a

948a

330

 

1519

3911

5603



10.4


6.9

5.1

11.6

9.1

 

0.7

1.5

1.3

Summary of lithium studies

     

All patients with long-term lithium medication

7–16

11 033

1.3

All patients without long-term lithium medication

11–16

4359

7.3

aRecalculated according to the values presented by the authors.

Felber and Kyber analyzed suicide attempts during accumulated periods on and off lithium: 90% of suicide attempts occurred in the off-lithium period (28).

Coppen and others (29) and the International Group for the Study of Lithium-Treated Patients (IGSLI; 30,31) studied mortality among patients with affective disorders during long-term lithium treatment. These studies demonstrated that, during adequate lithium medication, the standardized mortality in this patient population is normalized down to the level in the general population. Coppen reviewed studies existing in the mid-1990s on suicide rates in patients both on and off long-term lithium treatment (32) (Table 1). According to Coppen, adequate lithium medication reduces the suicide-related mortality by 82%.

Studies investigating potential effects of a therapeutic intervention on suicide rates display a common methodological problem: estimating how many deaths are to be expected in a matched, nontreated patient sample. Since it is not ethically possible to treat a control group of patients suffering from affective disorders with long-term placebo, the IGSLI used a reference group from the general population in its studies. This makes it possible to calculate the standardized mortality rate either for any causes of death or for specific causes such as cardiovascular disease, accident, and suicide.

The IGSLI Studies

The IGSLI studies began after the lithium research group in Berlin observed that suicidal behaviour was clearly decreased or even abolished in lithium-treated patients, including those not showing a satisfactory episode-preventive effect (27). The IGSLI main study evaluated detailed and well-documented data on the illness course of 827 patients from lithium clinics in Austria, Canada, Denmark, and Germany who had been treated with lithium for at least 6 months (30,15). These patients had the following diagnoses: 55% BD, 25% unipolar disorder, 2% unipolar-manic depression, 16% schizoaffective disorder, and 2% “other.” At the onset of lithium prophylaxis, patients were aged 41 years, on average. The mean duration of lithium treatment was 81 months (range, 6 to 21 years), equalling 5600 patient years.

As can be seen from Table 2, the ratio of 44 observed to 38 expected deaths is not statistically different from 1.0, which is the mortality rate in the general population. Thus, the expected 2 to 3 times higher excess mortality in patients with affective disorders (see above) does not exist in this lithium-treated patient sample.

Table 2  IGSLI study: overall mortality and cause-specific mortalities (SMR) of the major diagnostic subgroups

 

Unipolar (n = 182)
Patient years = 1252.40

Bipolar (n = 440)
Patient years = 3167.88

Schizoaffective (n = 171)
Patient years = 1030.02

Total (n = 793)
Patient years = 5450.30

Total number of observed deaths

7.0

29

8.0

44.0

Total number of expected deaths

9.24

23.49

5.13

37.86

Ratio (observed/expected)a

0.76

1.23

1.56

1.16

95%CI

0.25–1.77

0.80–1.82

0.51–3.64

0.75–1.71

Number of observed suicides

0.0

4.0

3.0

7.0

Number of expected suicides

0.31

0.76

0.23

1.30

Ratio (observed/expected)

5.26

13.04

5.38

95%CI

1.43–13.48

2.69–38.11

1.75–12.57

Number of observed CVS deaths

2.0

11.0

1.0

14.0

Number of expected CVS deaths

3.43

9.49

1,93

14.85

Ratio (observed/expected)

0.58

1.16

0.52

0.94

95%CI

0.07–2.11

0.56–2.13

0.01–2.89

0.45–1.73

Number of other observed deaths

5.0

14.0

4.0

23.0

Number of other expected deaths

5.50

13.24

2.97

21.71

Ratio (observed/expected)

0.91

1.06

1.35

1.06

95%CI

0.30–2.12

0.51–1.94

0.37–3.45

0.65–1.64

IGSLI = International Group for the Study of Lithium-Treated Patients; CVS = cardiovascular system; a = SMR

Although the suicide-related SMR is still higher than the general population rate (Table 2; 15) it can be clearly shown that it is definitely lower in all diagnostic groups, compared with that expected in untreated patient samples. Interestingly, the cardiovascular SMR also appeared to be normalized in the lithium-treated patients.

It could be argued that patients who accept a lithium prophylaxis generally benefit from a better prognosis. If so, the specific patient selection would be primarily responsible for the normalization of the SMR. (Conversely, it could be assumed that patients for whom lithium prophylaxis is indicated suffer from a higher suicide risk, owing to the higher morbidity.)

To study this issue, Müller-Oerlinghausen and others further analyzed 270 German and Danish patients from the original IGSLI sample, comparing the initial SMR with the SMR after treatment of more than 1 year (33). During the first year, overall mortality was 2 times higher, and suicide-related mortality 17 times higher, compared with the general population. However, the SMR normalized after the first year of treatment, suggesting that patients for whom lithium prophylaxis is indicated are in fact patients with a high risk of suicide.

Studies Supporting the IGSLI Findings: the Effect of Discontinuation

Coppen and others presented one of the first systematic studies showing reduced mortality, mainly in patients with uni-polar disorders treated with lithium over particularly long periods (29). Norton and Whalley were not able to demonstrate reduced mortality in cohorts of lithium-treated patients (34), nor were Vestergaard and Aagaard (35). In both studies, however, lithium treatment duration was on average shorter than in the IGSLI study, and treatment compliance may not have been sufficiently controlled. For example, in Vestergaard and Aagaard’s study, one-third of the deaths took place after patients had discontinued lithium (35). Nilsson’s study is noteworthy: investigating in a different setting (specifically, an open field with no specialized lithium clinics, as in most IGSLI centres), this author did not observe a full normalization of the SMR (36). However, as observed in studies reviewed by Schou (37), the SMR rose to the expected level after patients with untreated affective disorders discontinued lithium (Table 3). Studies in a Sardinian patient sample (38) and a recent Swedish study (39) further support the evidence for lithium’s antisuicidal effect. The Swedish study is particularly interesting because it suggests that the suicide- preventing effect may be more marked among patients in specialized lithium clinics than in patients treated with routine medical care. A metaanalysis of about 17 000 patients with BD demonstrated that patients treated without lithium had an 8.6 times higher mortality from suicide, compared with patients receiving long-term lithium treatment (40).

Table 3  Standardized mortality ratio (SMR) during lithium treatment and after discontinuationa


Study

During lithium treatment

After discontinuation of lithium

Norton and Whalley (34)

2.83b

Coppen and others (29)

0.60

Vestergaard and Aagaard (35)

4.35c

Müller-Oerlinghausen and others (30)d

0.89

2.54d

Ahrens and others (15)e

1.14

Lenz and others (58)e

0.86

1.8c

Nilsson (36)e

1.8b

3.1b

aCourtesy of M Schou (37)
SMR significantly different from 1.0:
bP < 0.001; cP < 0.05; dP < 0.01.
eInternational Group for the Study of Lithium-Treated Patients (IGSLI)

Methodological Problems in Calculating Mortality Rates

Although most existing studies suggest that lithium prophylaxis reduces suicide and mortality, a few apparently contradictory findings also exist (see above). One reason for this discrepancy may be differences in the therapeutic setting and in treatment duration. Another reason may be different ways of computing mortality rates. To study this issue, Wolf and others enlarged the database of the IGSLI study by adding mortality data from 2 associated centres and reanalyzed the data, using 3 different mathematical approaches (41). We studied the outcome of 3 different approaches:

1. the “cumulative approach,” used by most authors, in which the accumulation of the individual treatment duration is used and SMR calculated as the total number of observed deaths divided by the total number of expected deaths;

2. the “cumulative year-by-year approach,” in which SMR is calculated for successively accumulated treatment years (that is, patients with 6 to 11 months of treatment, patients with 6 to 20 years of treatment, patients with 6 to 35 years of treatment, and so on);

3. the “year-by-year approach,” in which SMR is calculated for all patients in the first year of treatment and then calculated for all patients in the second year of treatment, leaving out the data of the patients with fewer than 2 years of treatment, and so on.

Using the cumulative approach, one has to make the unproven assumption that mortality remains stable throughout any treatment period. However, clinical experience indicates that the prophylactic effect of lithium is not fully developed until after at least 6 months of treatment; that is, the effect’s onset is gradual, and it seems possible that any mortality-lowering effect of lithium is also time-dependent.

Unfortunately, the cumulative approach blurs possible effects of treatment duration on mortality. Step 2 of Wolf and others’ analysis reveals that the cumulative year-by-year-approach involves a remarkable distortion originating from the data accumulation process: the number of deaths observed in the first year is counted again for the following year, and so on, artificially increasing the number (41). This effect was not statistically significant in the enlarged IGSLI sample, because of the large number of cases and the long observation periods. However, if the IGSLI sample had accidentally consisted of patients with fewer than 19 years of treatment, this mathematical procedure would have shown no reduction in mortality during prophylactic treatment. Thus, the cumulative approach can lead to disastrous misinterpretation of the data. Another problem with the cumulative strategy is its neglect of a basic rule of probability theory: only probabilities of independent events may be added up. Being alive in later years of treatment is dependent on being alive in earlier years of treatment. In the Norton and Whalley (34) and Vestergaard and Aagaard (35) samples, the observation periods were too small to neutralize the distorting effect of the applied cumulative approach. Therefore, the year-by-year approach is obviously the scientifically sounder method of calculation, demonstrating clearly the normalized mortality of lithium-treated patients during practically all treatment periods.

Survival analysis would be a reasonable and probably more appropriate method. However, this approach is hardly feasible because ethical considerations exclude recruiting an untreated control group of patients with a clear indication for lithium prophylaxis. For this reason, some uncertainties about studies on the mortality of patients with manic depression cannot be overcome.

Antisuicidal Effects of Agents Other Than Lithium?

Although it has been claimed that the reduced suicide rates recently observed in various European countries may be attributable to the increased use of modern antidepressive agents (42,43), evidence does not exist that long-term anti- depressant treatment in affective disorders lowers the lifetime suicide risk (44). A preliminary report by Angst and others pointed to a potential mortality-reducing effect of anti- depressant treatment; however, many questions regarding details of treatment conditions remain unanswered in this paper (19).

A post hoc analysis from a controlled study comparing lithium and carbamazepine in BD and schizoaffective disorder over 2.5 years provides strong evidence for the antisuicidal effect of lithium, contrasted with carbamazepine: in the carbamazepine group, 4 completed suicides and 5 suicidal acts occurred. Conversely, no suicidal act was observed in the lithium group (45–47). No comparable data exist for other anticonvulsants used as mood stabilizers or for atypical neuroleptics. The only exception is clozapine, which has shown convincing evidence of an antisuicidal effect in schizophrenia patients (48).

Although Baldessarini and others postulated that the reduction of the suicide risk by lithium prophylaxis is primarily caused by its depression-preventing effect (49), other authors point to the serotonin-agonistic and antiaggressive effects of lithium. For example, Ahrens and Müller-Oerlinghausen recently reanalyzed data from the IGSLI study and suggested that lithium’s antisuicidal property may be rather specific; that is, it is not shared by other mood stabilizers and does not depend fully on the prevention of depressive episodes (50).

The intriguing issue of a potential specificity of the lithium effect will be clarified in an ongoing double-blind, placebo-controlled study on the antisuicidal effect of lithium in patients with a history of suicide attempts but without formal indication for long-term lithium prophylaxis. This study is being conducted within the German Network for Depression and supported by the Federal Ministry of Research and Technology.

Table 4  Expected and observed cases of deaths and suicides for 827 patients in psychiatric and nonpsychiatric populations

 

Number of deaths


Number of suicides


Men

Women

Total

Men

Women

Total

Expected

         

   General population

19.69

18.74

38.43

0.80

0.54

1.34

   Affective disorders (data from ECA)

42.40

25.69

68.09

23.50

7.50

31.00

   Affective disorders (data from 4)

39.85

34.35

74.20

20.96

16.16

37.12

Observed

         

   Lithium-treated affective disorders (data from IGSLI)

21.0

23.0

44.0

2.0

5.0

7.0

ECA = Epidemiologic Catchment Area; IGSLI = International Group for the Study of Lithium-Treated Patients

How Many Suicides in the Population Can Be Prevented by Lithium Prophylaxis?

Based on data collected within the Epidemiological Catchment Area Study (ECA; 51) and the epidemiological data of Weeke (41), as well as on the assumption that approximately 60% of all suicides in the population are committed by patients with affective disorders, Ahrens and Müller-Oerlinghausen constructed a model for calculating deaths and suicides to be expected in the general population and in patients with affective disorders (50). Table 4 shows that, for a sample of 827 subjects in the general population (matched with patients from the IGSLI sample) 1.34 suicides should be expected; in a corresponding sample of patients with affective disorders, 31 to 37 (average, 34) suicides were predicted. In the lithium-treated IGSLI sample, 7 suicides were observed. In other words, 27 predicted suicides did not occur. Based on this model, we can conclude that 5 suicides yearly per 1000 treated patients can be prevented. This would result in approximately 250 suicides prevented yearly in Germany. The IGSLI data also show that the average age of patients who committed suicide was 44 years. Thus, without these suicides, gross national productivity in Germany would gain 3060 working years before age 65 years.

This positive effect adds to the net gain of about 110 million EURO yearly in Germany resulting from lithium prophylaxis within the National Health Scheme, although, as outlined above, the number of lithium-treated patients in this country appears to be very low (52).

Figure 1 Algorithm for prophylaxis in unipolar depressive disorders (52).
mullerfig1.gif - 3059 Bytes

Integrating Mortality Findings Into Operationalized Treatment Decisions

In the treatment of affective disorders, the devastating course of illness and the high mortality demand an effective, safe, and evidence-based strategy. In this context, psychiatrists may listen to a comment on existing mortality studies made by Mogens Schou in 1998:

Owing to the special problems of mortality research this observation cannot prove definitely that lithium treatment has a mortality-lowering, antisuicidal effect. But they are compatible with such an assumption. As scientists we concede that such an action of lithium remains a possibility. As clinicians we cannot afford to disregard that possibility. It must be the duty of psychiatrists to keep this in mind when they choose prophylactic treatment for patients with severe depressions or suicidal thoughts or suicide attempts in the past (37).

Consequently, our research group has developed suitable and rational algorithms for selecting an appropriate prophylactic strategy to treat either unipolar disorder or BD (53). Figure 1 offers an example.


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Author(s)

Manuscript received and accepted May 2003.

1. Former Research Group Clinical Psychopharmacology, Freie Universität, Berlin, Germany; Chair, Drug Commission of the German Medical Association, Cologne-Berlin, Germany.

2. Institute of Social Medicine, Epidemiology and Health Economics, Charité Hospital, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.

3. Department of Psychiatry, Universität Lübeck, Lübeck Germany.

Address for correspondence: Prof B Müller-Oerlinghausen, Drug Commission of the German Medical Association, Jebensstr. 3, 10623 Berlin, Germany

e-mail: bmoe@zedat.fu-berlin.de

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